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Remember in the beginning I did briefly mention something about Not-So-Pure Price Action Trading?
Well, now we are at it!
When you use price action trading with one other indicator or a combination of indicators which are incorporated into your trading system then that’s what I call Not-So-Pure Price Action Trading.
Many new traders that find it difficult to define the structure of a trending market, therefore they rely on moving averages for trend detection or identification.
The only thing I see useful in moving averages is for dynamic support and resistance levels. I will explain this concept shortly. As a matter of fact moving averages do a terrible job of predicting trends in that they only do that after that trend has already started already and price has moved a great deal already.
Here’s an example:
In the chart on the left, notice that price has crossed the HL(higher low) already, indicating that the downtrend market has started (potentially). But notice that the moving averages have not crossed yet.
So price action is telling you that you are now potentially in a downtrend but moving average is saying “not yet”.
So you have two conflicting signals. And by the time moving average confirms what the price action has indicated, price has already moved a great deal .
So which are you really going to pick? Depend on moving average to tell you that a trend has changed or depend on price action?
Using Moving Averages For Dynamic Support And Resistance Levels
The concept of dynamic support and resistance can be fully understood with a few charts given below.
When the market is in a downtrend, you will notice that price moves up to the moving average lines (upswing) and then bounces back down from them (downswing). (That is if you put moving average lines on your charts).
Here’s an example:
The similar situation happens in an uptrend: prices move down to the moving average lines (downswing) and then bounces up from them (upswing).
Here’s an example shown on the chart below:
Now that you know this concept of dynamic support and resistance using moving averages, the next thing you need to know is that trend trading strategies can be created around them and in a very nice trending market, they are really effective.
For those that love moving averages, what you can do is to look reversal candlesticks as price starts to go back to touch the moving average lines and these are used as your confirmation signal to buy or sell.
- In a downtrend, you should be looking for bearish reversal candlesticks like the shooting star, bearish harami, spinning tops, dark cloud cover, hanging man etc to go short (sell).
- In an uptrend, you should be looking out for bullish reversal candlestick patterns like pin bars, dojis, piercing line, bullish harami etc…
Let’s study the past again…on the chart below is an example of how to trade dynamic support with Price Action:
Now, it’s easy to say here that “ you could have bought here and sold here” etc based on what happened in the past because now you can see how the market has played out in the past…
But real challenge for many traders is that when a setup is happening, they will most likely second guess it because this is how its going to look:
And this is how how it turned out:
Hope by now its now clear to you how you can use moving averages in trading. Don’t forget to share using the buttons below.
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Explore The Chapters In The Price Action Course
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