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When the market is heading down, it forms down swings and up swings as it continually moves lower.
Similarly, when the market is in an uptrend, it will form upswings and downswings as it continues to move up.
The peaks that are formed by the up swings and the troughs that are formed by the down swings can be used to draw trendlines.
- And you need a minimum of 2 peaks to draw a downward trendline for a market that is in a downtrend
- and you need 2 troughs to draw an upward trendline for a market that is in an uptrend.
How To Draw Downtrend Trendlines
Now, for a market in a downtrend, you can connect the peaks with a line and that forms you downward trendline.
What you are waiting for is for price to come back up and touch that trendline and when it does, this could mean that a down swing will start and it may be the best time to enter a short trade.
The use of bearish reversal candlesticks as trade confirmation is highly recommended with this trading method.
How To Draw Upward Trendlines
When the market is in an uptrend, connect 2 troughs and you have an upward trendline. When price comes to touch it later, you have a potential buy setup.
The chart below shows a live example of a long trade on AUDNZD pair that I took at the moment whilst I was writing this guide.
As you can see, I was anticipating a move up to the 1.1290 level and used that as my take profit target level. Obviously, this trade was taken based on the setup in the daily timeframe which means it may be a week or two before the profit target is hit if the market makes a nice move up or the opposite can happen, price breaks the trendline and I get stopped out or I can walk away with some profits when my trailing stop gets hit.
But the next day, price broke that upward trendline and I got stopped out with a loss. But here’s the thing with a trade like that…my stop loss is tight, with a potential reward of more than 3 times what I risked for this trade. Here’s the chart of what happened:
I strongly recommend that you use bullish reversal candlesticks as a signal for executing your buy/long trades.
I’m not glamorizing price action trading here. You will have losses like what I’ve shown.
But think about this…if the price had moved the way I analysed, I would have made a lot more profits than what I lost.
With Price action trading, you are risking less with the potential to make more and that’s the beauty of price action trading.
What happens if the trendline gets intersected?
There are a couple of things you need to be aware when a trendline gets intersected:
(1)The first is that it could mean the trend has now changed.
(2)The second is that it can be a false break only and price will soon head back in the original direction.
Now, there’s another thing about trendlines, if one trendline get’s broken, you need to be see if you can draw another trendline above (or below) the one that’s broken. There can be 2 or more downward trendlines or 2 or more upward trendlines at any one time on any chart in any timeframe.
So if price breaks the first trendline, it still has yet to head to the 2ndand the third etc…
So if you take a sell trade on the first trendline but price intersects it and you are stopped out with a loss and now price is heading to the 2nd trendline above, you should also look to sell if you get bearish reversal candlestick signal.
Here’s an example of a trade in a similar situation that I took on the AUDUSD pair. See chart below: (enlarge if you cannot see clearly).
You will notice that I took the first trade on the first downward trendline based on a bearish harami and also a spinning top pattern there but then price intersected that trendline and went up to the 2nddownward trendline.
I saw a shooting star so I took another short trade. Obviously, you can see how the price reacted to the trendline by forming a shooting star. That was enough signal for me to short this pair.
You need to be aware of these kinds of trendlines not only on the sell side buy on the buy-side as well.
I suggest you check out Trendline Trading System for more information on how to trade it.
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