Indlela yokuphuhlisa iSicwangciso soRhwebo

• Ukurhweba lishishini eliyingozi, ngoko ke kufuneka ucwangcise ukulawula ukungaqiniseki okukhoyo kwiimarike

• Kufuneka uhlele ishishini lakho lokurhweba ngendlela efanayo neshishini eliqhelekileyo.

Njengoko isazi sihamba, ukuba uyasilela ukucwangcisa, cwangcisa ukusilela. Ukurhweba lishishini eliyingozi, ke le ntetho ibaluleke kakhulu. Konke "uMngcipheko" kuthetha ukuba kufuneka ucwangcise ukulawula ukungaqiniseki okukhoyo kwiimarike.

Kuya kufuneka uqiniseke ukuba inkunzi yakho yomngcipheko, isibonelelo esikuvumela ukuba uhlale kumdlalo, ayipheli. Inkxaso-mali yesizwe, ukulinganisa indawo efanelekileyo, kunye nokuziphatha zizinto eziphambili kule nxalenye yenxaki.

“Ishishini” “kwiShishini elisemngciphekweni” lithetha ukuba le nzame kufuneka ungayiphathi njengebheji, kodwa njengeshishini. Ukuba unesicwangciso soshishino sokubonisa uWarren Buffett, ngaba uya kuvuma kwaye atyale imali kuwe? UBuffett utyala imali kuphela kumashishini aza kubakho kwixesha elizayo elibonakalayo.

Amashishini awomeleleyo, anesicwangciso esicacileyo, 'nomzila okhuphisanayo' (Igama leBuffet lenkampani enenzuzo yokhuphiswano eyikhusela kubakhuphisana nabo). Kufuneka uhlele ishishini lakho lokurhweba ngendlela efanayo.

Izitshixo zale nxalenye yenxaki zezi:

• Ukuphuhlisa umda ocacileyo (i-moat yakho)
• Ukuhlala ezandleni zakho de umgca wakho udlale (umonde)
• Ukwahlula-hlula ukubheja kwakho ngaphandle kokuyahlula-hlula kakhulu
• Ukulawula unxulumano

A 2023 Trading Plan Template

Xa abarhwebi abanamava bethetha ngezicwangciso zokurhweba, abarhwebi abanomdla badla ngokuqala ukuzamla kwaye baphazamiseke. Ngapha koko, ayipheleli nje “ngokufunda ukuseta” kunye “nokuphumeza ukuseta”? Ngelishwa, ayilulanga kwaphela.

Ukuseta Okwenyani yincam ye-iceberg kuphela. Isicwangciso sokwenyani sorhwebo sifana nomdlalo olungiselelwe kakuhle wechess. Udinga:

• Ubuchule (iinjongo kunye neenjongo)
• Amaqhinga (indlela yokufikelela kwiinjongo)
• IPsychology (ulawulo loxinzelelo)

Nantsi iplani yesicwangciso esiluqilima sorhwebo:

Strategy

1. Yiba neendlela ezininzi zengeniso

Qinisekisa ukuba unako ukuhlawulela ukuphulukana nenkunzi yakho yomngcipheko ngaphandle kokutshintsha indlela ophila ngayo.

2. Qonda indlela iimarike ezisebenza ngayo. 

Funda ezi meko kunye neziphumo zazo:

• Ubume beMarike
• Amandla emarike
• Iziganeko zeendaba ze-Macroeconomic

3. Qonda umda wakho 

Kukho imiphetho emininzi ekufuneka isetyenziswe. Qiniseka nje ukuba ufumana umda ngokusekwe kwiimeko zentengiso ephilayo.

4. Qonda xa umda wakho udlala kwaye ugcine iithebhu kuyo. 

Zingaphi iintengiso onazo ngeveki? Zingaphi ngenyanga? Ngale ndlela, unokucwangcisa inyanga yakho kwangaphambili.

5. Kwamkele ukungaqiniseki. 

Uya kuba neelahleko, ke zicwangcisele kwaye ungazami ukuphumelela lonke urhwebo. Endaweni yoko, zama ukukhetha urhwebo olusemgangathweni kwaye ubavumele bakusebenzele.

Amacebo

1. Yintoni injongo yesixokelelwano sakho? 

Ezinye imizekelo:

• Ukwandisa iinzuzo zexesha elifutshane kwintshukumo ekhawulezileyo ukuya kwisikali kwiindlela ezinokubakho zexesha elide njengoko zikhula
• Ukunciphisa uluhlu olugqithisileyo

2. Chaza imeko yemarike efanelekileyo.

• Yintoni eyenza utyekelo?
• Yintoni eyenza uluhlu?
• Ziphi iindawo zotshintsho?
• Yeyiphi imeko efanelekileyo kwisicwangciso sam?

3. Chaza ukuseta okunomngcipheko omncinci. 

Ukuqhawuka okanye ukutsalwa yimizekelo yeklasikhi yokuseta okufanelekileyo kwimeko yesiqhelo.

4. Chaza umngcipheko wakho ngorhwebo. 

Ngesiqhelo, kungcono ukuba ungabi semngciphekweni ngaphezu kwe-2% ye-equity edibeneyo yorhwebo ngalunye. Ukuba i-2% kufuneka "ifanele" kwinani leepips ukusuka ekungeneni ukuya ekulahlekeni kokuyeka. Oku ke izithuba ezinkulu zinokwenzeka xa iindawo zokumisa ziqina kwaye ngokuphambanayo.

5. Chaza indlela yokusebenzisa umngcipheko wakho. 

Awunyanzelekanga ukuba ungene ngesibonda esipheleleyo. Ungangena njengoko ixabiso lisiya kwicala lakho. Unako kwakhona ukufaka inxalenye kwimarike kwaye ushiye a umyalelo wokunciphisa ukubamba umkhondo. Ezi zimbalwa nje zokhetho lwakho.

6. Chaza iindlela zakho zokulawula urhwebo. 

• Ndibamba nini, ndisonga nini?
• Ndikhupha nini okanye ndongeze nini?

Injongo apha kukukhwela abaphumeleleyo kunye nokusika abalahlekileyo ngokukhawuleza. Ngelishwa, akukho fomula yomlingo kule nto, kwaye kuya kufuneka uzame.

7. Chaza indlela yokuphuma kwakho. 

Ziziphi iikhrayitheriya zakho?

• Iithagethi ezichazwe kwangaphambili?
• Iithagethi zokuguquguquka?
• uyamlandela zokumisa?

Kwakhona, akukho fomyula yomlingo, kwaye kuya kufuneka uphonononge oko kusebenza kakuhle ngendlela yakho.

 

8. Ukujongwa komsebenzi. 

Gcina iinkcukacha-manani kurhwebo lwakho, ngakumbi ekuqaleni. Ngaphaya kwezibalo ezinzima ezibandayo, hlala ujonge indlela kunye neeseti ozisebenzisayo. Ukuba unerekhodi yeentengiso ezingama-50, kodwa wenze into eyahlukileyo kuyo nganye kuzo, awunayo irekhodi esebenzayo ngokwezibalo. Usebenzisa inkqubo ephindaphindayo.

9. Ukuphuculwa kwenkqubo. 

Ngokusekelwe kuhlolo lwakho lokusebenza, uya kuba nakho ukuchonga iindawo eziphambili onokuthi usebenze kuzo kunye neendawo eziphambili ezisebenza kakuhle. Umzekelo, ukuba uphumelela rhoqo, kodwa urhwebo lwakho oluphumeleleyo luncinci xa kuthelekiswa nokulahleka kwakho kwezorhwebo, unokucinga ngokugcina ilahleko yokuyeka okanye ufumane iindlela zokuvumela abaphumeleleyo ukuba baqhube phambili.

Psychology 

1. Ziziphi iinkolelo zakho eziphambili...

• Malunga nemarike?
• Malunga nawe?
• Malunga nendlela elisebenza ngayo ihlabathi?

2. Ngaba iinkolelo zakho ezingundoqo ziyahambelana nabathathi-nxaxheba abaphezulu bemarike? 

Ekubeni sivame ukurhweba ngokusekelwe kwinto esikholelwa ukuba ilungile, kufuneka sihambelane neemarike.

3. Ngaba Unayo Ixhala Lokusebenza? 

• Ngaba uyoyika ukulahlekelwa?

• Ngaba uphantsi koxinzelelo lokuphumelela?
• Ngaba uziva ngathi ukurhweba lithemba lakho lokugqibela?

Naziphi na iibhloko zengqondo onazo, nokuba uyazazi okanye awuzazi, ziya kuvela xa uqala ukubeka umngcipheko wakho kwiimarike.

Yakha iSicwangciso sakho sokuRhweba sika-2023

Ngayo yonke le nto ethethiweyo kwaye yenziwe, lixesha lokuba singcolise izandla zethu kwaye sakhe inkqubo yokurhweba ukusuka phantsi ukuya phezulu.

Ukuba ujonga isicwangciso sakho sokurhweba njengemoto yezemidlalo ebiza kakhulu ejolise ekukususeni kwindawo A (umthengisi onqwenelayo) ukuya kwindawo ye-B (umthengisi ophumelelayo oqhubekayo), ngoko ngokucacileyo i-motor yesicwangciso sakho sokurhweba yinkqubo yokuthengisa yangempela. Umba wengqondo "yindlela oyiqhuba ngayo imoto". Kunokwenzeka kakhulu ukurhweba ngenkqubo eyimpumelelo kakubi. Yiyo loo nto ufuna amacandelo engqondo ukwenza ukuba isebenze.

Ubume beNkqubo

• Ithini ingcamango yenkqubo? Khumbula ukuba ukulula kubamba ubunzima ekurhwebeni. Ke, gcina ingqikelelo yenkqubo yakho ilula. Umzekelo, "ijolise ekubambeni indlela elungileyo".
• Yintoni injongo yale nkqubo? Ukuba "imvelaphi" kwisistim yindawo ehamba phambili, ngoko ke umphetho wakho uvela phi phakathi kwendlela? Ngaba ibamba i-pullbacks enzulu? Ngaba idlala iigqabhuko ezinzulu? Xa i-edge yakho "iyadlala"?

• Kutheni le nto le nkqubo kufuneka isebenze njengoko bekucwangcisiwe? Ngawaphi amacandelo okwakhiwa kweemarike kunye nokutshintsha kweemarike kwenza ingqiqo ukuba isondele ngale ndlela?
• Yintoni umda wenkqubo, ichazwe ngokucacileyo?
• Zeziphi iimarike oza kuzirhweba ngenkqubo kwaye kutheni ezi marike zifanelekile? Ngokomzekelo, i-forex kunye neemveliso zivame ukuthambekela ngaphezu kwee-stocks kwaye ke kunokuba lukhetho olungcono kwi- inkqubo trend.
• Ingaba le nkqubo inomatshini okanye inokuzikhethela? Ngokuqhelekileyo, ukuba nemithetho ecacileyo emayithotyelwe kuya kunceda ekwenzeni izigqibo ezinengqiqo.
• Ngaba inkqubo yobugcisa kuphela okanye ibandakanya ulwazi lwangaphandle? Imithombo yolwazi lwangaphandle yile:

• Sentiment Iimpawu 
• Iindaba ze-Macroeconomic 

• Ingaba le nkqubo isebenza ngawaphi amaxesha amisiweyo? Ngaba yi isakhelo samaxesha amaninzi indlela yokusondela? Okanye ngaba isebenza ngexesha elinye?
• Ingaba inkqubo kufuneka ibekwe esweni kangaphi? Intraday? Kanye ngosuku?

• Ngaba zikho iingxaki ezinokubakho? Xa inkqubo AYISEBENZE? Zeziphi iimeko ekunzima kakhulu ukuzivavanya?

Nje ukuba umboniso wenkqubo ugqityiwe, inokuba luluvo oluhle ukuqala urhwebo lwedemo-nkqubo. Ngaloo ndlela unokuthatha ingqalelo ngokuthe ngcembe kwaye ugcine iirekhodi ekusebenzeni kunye nenani eliphakathi kwezorhwebo ngosuku / iveki / ngenyanga. Emva koko, unokuqaphela iindawo ezinokuba nengxaki.

Khumbula ukucwangciswa kwinkqubo yakho yokwenza izigqibo. Zama ukuchonga uhlobo olufanayo lwemeko amaxesha ngamaxesha. Leyo kuphela kwendlela yokuphanda ngokufanelekileyo amathuba enkqubo yakho kwaye uvelise izibalo ezinentsingiselo.

2023 Isicwangciso soRhwebo Umzekelo

Izixhobo: I-5-iveki elula ehambayo ehambayo, i-5-day elula ehambayo ehambayo, i-5-day RSI, iimpembelelo ezibalulekileyo.

Ithini ingcamango yenkqubo? Ukurhweba kwimarike ehamba phambili; hlala kude ne-retracements.

Yintoni injongo yale nkqubo? Ukurhweba ngokuhambelana nentsingiselo emiselweyo, xa isantya sihambelana nentsingiselo.

Ukucinga ukuba kutheni le nkqubo kufuneka isebenze njengoko bekucwangcisiwe?

Xa kukho abaqhubi abacacileyo abatyhala amaxabiso kwicala elithile, kwenza kube lula ukuhluza iintsingiselo ekufuneka ziqhubeke ixesha elide. Ngaphaya koko, samkela indlela yesakhelo esinamaxesha amaninzi kwaye ngaloo ndlela sifumana umbono obanzi wenkangeleko yomhlaba (ukuphepha ukujonga okufutshane). Sikwavumela ukuba imakethi isebenze nathi ngaphakathi nangaphandle kurhwebo lwethu, kwaye ngaloo ndlela singanyanzeli nto kuyo.

Yintoni umda wenkqubo, ochazwe ngokucacileyo? 

Chonga iintsuku ezihamba phambili kwiimarike ezihamba phambili kwaye uphephe iimarike ezinqabileyo.

Zeziphi iimarike oza kuzirhweba ngenkqubo kwaye kutheni ezi marike zifanelekile?

I-Forex, iGolide, iSilivere, kunye ne-Oli eKrwada zifanelekile kuba ziimarike ezithanda ukuthambekela.

Ingaba le nkqubo inomatshini okanye inokuzikhethela?

Inkqubo yi-80% yomatshini kunye ne-20% yokukhetha. Imithetho yokurhweba ngoomatshini; ukhetho lwesixhobo lunokuzikhethela.

Ngaba inkqubo yobugcisa kuphela okanye ibandakanya ulwazi lwangaphandle?

Indibaniselwano yezi zimbini.

Ingaba le nkqubo isebenza ngawaphi amaxesha amisiweyo? Indlela yokuchitha ixesha elininzi (iveki, yonke imihla).

Ingaba inkqubo kufuneka ibekwe esweni kangaphi?

Kanye okanye kabini ngosuku.

Ziziphi iingxaki ezinokubakho?

• Ukunqongophala kokuziphatha (ukuzama ukurhweba kwiimarike ezinqabileyo)
• Ukunqongophala kwabaqhubi abacacileyo
• Ukunqongophala kokuguquguquka.

Stop Ilahleko ibekwe kwindawo ephezulu ye-trigger ngosuku.

Imeko yokuphuma: Ukuba urhwebo luqalisiwe, ke uphume kwintengiso kwisenzeko sokuqala sosuku olungathathi hlangothi okanye oluchaseneyo. Ngokuqhelekileyo, i ifomu ikhandlela yosuku olungathathi hlangothi okanye oluchaseneyo luthatha uhlobo lweNkwenkwezi eDulayo, iHammer, okanye iDoji.

Uphuculo olunokwenzeka: Ukuzama ukuthatha umqondiso wokuqala osebenzayo emva kokutsalwa kwemihla ngemihla ngaphakathi kwendlela ebanzi (yeveki). Kungenjalo, zama ukuthatha isiginali esebenzayo emva kotshintsho lweveki.

Yintoni elandelayo?

Injongo yokugqibela yesicwangciso sakho sorhwebo kukufumana imeko etofotofo onokurhweba kuyo ngoxinzelelo oluncinci kangangoko. Ukuba ngumrhwebi ongaguqukiyo kufana ne-marathon, kunokuba i-sprint.

Xa imeko yakho ilungile, gxininisa ekwakheni imikhwa ephindaphindiweyo ekuvumela ukuba ujongane neemarike ngendlela efanayo, ukusuka kwinqanaba elifanayo, ngosuku ngalunye. Oku kuya kukuvumela ukuba ufumane iinkcukacha-manani ezinentsingiselo ezinokukuxelela oko kufuneka kuphuculwe kwaye yintoni esebenza kakuhle.